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At a Glance
Temperature
Expected to increase
                               by 2060   
                               by 2090


     1.1 to 3.1°C
     1.5 to 5.1°C
Rainfall
Expected to increase throughout the country October-December
      10 - 70%
Extreme
'hot' days are projected to occur more frequently by 2060
      19 - 40%
'hot' nights are projected to occur more frequently by 2060
      26 - 69%
Proportion of total rainfall that falls in ‘heavy’ events
     -1 - +18%
Key Climate Changes
  • Large, proportional increases in October-December rainfall are predicted to occur in the driest, eastern most parts of Ethiopia.
  • Model data are broadly consistent in indicating increases in the proportion of total rainfall that falls in ‘heavy’ events, with annual changes ranging from -1 to +18%. The largest increases are seen in July-September and October-December rainfall.
  • Projections from different models are broadly consistent in indicating increases in annual rainfall for Ethiopia as a whole. These increases are largely a result of increasing rainfall during the ‘short’ rainfall season (October-December) in southern Ethiopia.
  • All projections indicate decreases in the frequency of days and nights that are considered cold in the current climate. Cold nights decrease in frequency more rapidly than cold days, and do not occur at all in most model projections by the 2090s under the highest emissions scenario (A2).
Climate Charts
Move the marker to view the projected climate charts.

What does the chart show?

This chart shows how well the best available climate models capture the seasonal cycle of climate rainfall and/or temperature for the zone selected. The thick line of the historical period represents a proxy measure of actual historical climate that can then be used to compare the historical cycle captured by climate models.



***Caution***
This information takes the values of a 1 degree (~150 km2) climate models at the selected site and returns the average for the region. These numbers will vary depending on the site selected but should NOT be interpreted as climate for a specific point or location.



For more information about this data click here

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Scenario

Legend
Global Climate Models
bcc_csm1_1
bcc_csm1_1_m
ccsm4
cesm1_cam5
csiro_mk3_6_0
fio_esm
gfdl_cm3
gfdl_esm2m
giss_e2_h
giss_e2_r
ipsl_cm5a_mr
miroc_esm
miroc_esm_chem
miroc5
mri_cgcm3
noresm1_m
access1_0
access1_3
bnu_esm
canesm2
cesm1_bgc
cmcc_cesm
cmcc_cm
cmcc_cms
cnrm_cm5
gfdl_esm2g
hadgem2_ao
hadgem2_cc
hadgem2_es
inmcm4
ipsl_cm5a_lr
ipsl_cm5b_lr
mpi_esm_lr
mpi_esm_mr
mri_esm1
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