• Variable: Temperature
  • Time Period: 2080 to 2099
  • Statistic: Mean
  • Scenario: RCP2.6
  • Model: bcc_csm1_1
Use the menu above to visualize different climate projection layers and chart data. Click on the map to get location specific data for Rainfall and Temperature.
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     Future climate information is derived from 16 available global circulation models (GCMs) used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report.

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The climate science community sources a suite of models to inform decision makers on future climate. Among the most widely used are GCMs (Global Climate Models or Earth System models) that capture the non-linear complexity of the Earth to represent changes across the climate system for key processes and contexts. The collection of models presented here represents the best-presently-available-data to outline likely future changes in the climatologies of temperature and precipitation across the globe. The collection analyzed here is a representative subset of the full CMIP5 distribution used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report.

The first chart above shows mean monthly temperature OR rainfall for Bahamas, The for the period 2060_2079. Projected changes are calculated from a 20 year historical control period covering the years 1986-2005.

The second chart represents the observed mean historical monthly temperature or rainfall for the selected location during the time period 1986-2005. The dataset was produced by the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) of University of East Anglia (UEA).


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Global Climate Models
bcc_csm1_1 bcc_csm1_1_m
ccsm4 cesm1_cam5
csiro_mk3_6_0 fio_esm
gfdl_cm3 gfdl_esm2m
giss_e2_h giss_e2_r
ipsl_cm5a_mr miroc_esm
miroc_esm_chem miroc5
mri_cgcm3 noresm1_m
Ensemble
To learn more about variables available here (PDF 0.3MB).
This chart represents the uncorrected absolute values of the climatologies from individual CMIP5 climate model simulations. It is normal that absolute model output exhibits slight biases compared to observational records. These differences result from the resolution-dependent differences in depiction of topography and land surface and from inherent model biases in absolute global mean temperature.
  • Variable: Temperature
  • Time Period: 2080 to 2099
  • Statistic: Mean
  • Scenario: A2
  • Model: CGCM3.1(T47)
Use the menu above to visualize different climate projection layers and chart data. Click on the map to get location specific data for Rainfall and Temperature.
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The climate science community sources a suite of models to inform decision makers on future climate. Among the most widely used are GCMs (Global Climate Models). GCMs comprise simplified but systematically rigorous interacting mathematical descriptions of important physical and chemical processes governing climate, including the role of the atmosphere, land, oceans, and biological processes.

The chart above shows mean monthly temperature OR rainfall for the Bahamas, The and 2020-2039.

Projected changes are calculated from a 40 year historical control period covering the years 1960-1999.

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Global Climate Models
bccr_bcm2.0 ccma_cgcm3.1
cnrm_cm3.0 csiro_mk3.5
gfdl_cm2.1 gfdl_cm2.0
ingv_echam4.0 inmcm3.0
ipsl_cm4.0 miub_echo
miroc_3.3medres mpi_echam5
mri_cgcm2.3.2a ukmo_hadcm3
ukmo_hadgem1 Ensemble
To learn more about variables available here (PDF 0.3MB).